Tensions are escalating in Iran, with potential outcomes ranging from increased bloodshed to prolonged conflicts. The new leader, Motjaba Khamenei, has vowed revenge for Iran’s fallen soldiers, hinting at possible actions against neighboring countries. There is talk of seeking compensation for recent strikes by targeting assets of wealthy Gulf States. Additionally, Iran may utilize proxies like Hezbollah to expand its attacks. The war, dubbed Operation Epic Fury and Operation Rising Lion, is not progressing as planned. Analysts suggest three potential scenarios: controlled degradation leading to negotiation, protracted attritional conflict, and escalation to regime change operations involving ground operations. The most likely trajectory currently is a prolonged conflict due to Iran’s strategic resilience and asymmetric capabilities. This situation could lead to significant humanitarian issues and a prolonged war in the region.